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493 Former House of Commons leader Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg will learn if he has won the new seat of Somerset North East & Hanham, where the notional Tory majority is 16,389 and which Labour would take on a swing of 14.3 percentage points, ranking it at number 165 on the party’s target list. House of Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt will find out if she has held her seat of Portsmouth North, which she has represented since 2010.

She is defending a majority of 15,780 and a swing to Labour of 17.2 points would see her defeated. Swindon South is likely to be the first battleground seat of the night to declare at around 12.15am, where former justice secretary Sir Robert Buckland is defending a majority of 5,650 and where Labour candidate Heidi Alexander – who was MP for Lewisham East from 2010-18 – needs a swing of 5.7 percentage points to win. The residents of Ashfield in Nottinghamshire will find out at around 4.30am if their next MP is former Conservative-turned-Reform candidate Lee Anderson, who won the seat (as a Tory) in 2019; Independent candidate Jason Zadrozny, who came second in 2019; new Conservative candidate Debbie Soloman; or Rhea Keehn for Labour, whose party held the seat from 1979 to 2019.

Clacton in Essex should declare, which is being defended by Giles Watling for the Conservatives and where Reform leader Nigel Farage is one of nine candidates. It is Mr Farage’s eighth attempt to become an MP. Former House of Commons leader Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg will learn if he has won the new seat of Somerset North East & Hanham, where the notional Tory majority is 16,389 and which Labour would take on a swing of 14.3 percentage points, ranking it at number 165 on the party’s target list.

He would replace John Baron, who announced he would stand down as an MP in October last year in what should be a safe Conservative seat, with Mr Baron having won a majority of 20,412 over his nearest Labour opponent in 2010. The crunch time will be between 3am and 4am when the bulk of the results will flood in. And with Rishi Sunak’s seat of Richmond and Northallerton due to be declared at 4am, this could be the moment when he conceded the election to Labour – and in a worst-case scenario loses his own seat.

The result from Sir Keir Starmer’s constituency of Holborn & St Pancras is due at around 2. If you loved this informative article and also you want to be given guidance with regards to @parentsontheyard i implore you to check out our web site. 30am. The Labour leader is defending a very safe majority of 22,766 and is one of 12 candidates standing in the seat. Another Cabinet minister, Education Secretary Gillian Keegan, will discover her fate at Chichester. Ms Keegan is defending a majority at this election of 19,622, with second-place party the Lib Dems needing a swing of 19.3 points to take a seat they last held – as the Liberal Party – 100 years ago.

Houghton and the private tutor Sunderland South has been won by Bridget Phillipson for Labour at every election since the seat was created in 2010, where she is defending a narrow majority of 3,271, while Blyth and Ashington is a new constituency at this election, where Labour is defending a notional majority of 6,118.

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